I ran all night and day
I couldn’t get away
The strikes on Iran by the U.S. and Israel began about a month ago. The dynamics of war are always framed as strategy, but the truth is simple: your plans are only as good as the assumptions underneath them.
This week, the Trump administration said they’ve been planning this operation and simulating this conflict for “quite a while.” Whether that’s reassuring or not depends entirely on your priors.
And speaking of the Trump administration, the internet never disappoints:
Domestically, public opinion is mixed. Most Americans agree the IRGC is a destructive force inside Iran, but no one is confident about what comes after. Regime change is hard, and it only stabilizes when it comes from within.
But for just a moment, I’m going to spike the ball. (calling the “No Kings” protests until spring — a prediction I made back in December that turned out to be pretty accurate)
Last weekend’s “No Kings” demonstrations felt more manufactured than organic — but at least they were “mostly peaceful.”
There’s a philosophical term for moments like this: dialetheism — the idea that a statement can be true and false at the same time.
That’s basically the media environment right now. Either Trump is playing 4D chess, or he’s improvising everything on the fly. Depending on which outlet you check, you’ll hear both interpretations… sometimes on the same day.
I was disappointed that Trump’s meeting with the Japanese Prime Minister didn’t produce the outcome he wanted. A missed opportunity, and one that may matter more as this conflict drags on.
The Cabinet (mostly GenX by the way) is now suggesting the Iran “war” could conclude in 4–6 weeks. Meanwhile, countries in the region are being pulled in as the Strait of Hormuz tightens. Only limited shipments of oil and other critical supplies are getting through. The U.S. is insulated by reserves and by redirecting seized sanctioned oil into the market, but no one likes high gas prices.
Still, maybe this is the moment the world finally confronts how brittle global supply chains really are.
Here’s a solid overview of the situation:
Right now, the pressure is squarely on Iran and the IRGC. If a deal isn’t reached soon, something unexpected is coming — the kind of move no one sees until it happens.
“I’m trapped and my back’s up against the wall
I see no solution or exit out”
Next time: Artificial Irrelevance
GenX Turns Fifty 
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